Author:
The Travel Foundation
Language:
English

Envisioning Tourism in 2030 and Beyond

March 2023
Transformation

Tourism is a major contributor to global climate change and the sector is set to continue growing rapidly in the coming decades. In a business-as-usual scenario, by 2050, tourism related emissions will rise steeply (up 73% compared to 2019). In such a scenario, tourism will use a staggering 66% of the remaining climate budget between 2023 and 2100. To avoid the devastating consequences of climate change, the world, including tourism, needs to halve its emissions by 2030 and reach net zero by 2050. The clock is ticking. As the UN (2022, para. 3) describes, ’transitioning to a net-zero world is one of the greatest challenges humankind has ever faced. It calls for nothing less than a complete transformation of how we produce, consume and move about.”

Contents:

  1. Foreword
  2. Overview
  3. Introduction
  4. The status quo
  5. Envisioning Tourism in 2030: Modelling scenarios for emission pathways
  6. From single pathways to the tourism decarbonisation scenario (TDS)
  7. The implications of the TDS scenario
  8. Conclusions and recommendations

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Envisioning Tourism in 2030 and Beyond

March 2023
Transformation

Tourism is a major contributor to global climate change and the sector is set to continue growing rapidly in the coming decades. In a business-as-usual scenario, by 2050, tourism related emissions will rise steeply (up 73% compared to 2019). In such a scenario, tourism will use a staggering 66% of the remaining climate budget between 2023 and 2100. To avoid the devastating consequences of climate change, the world, including tourism, needs to halve its emissions by 2030 and reach net zero by 2050. The clock is ticking. As the UN (2022, para. 3) describes, ’transitioning to a net-zero world is one of the greatest challenges humankind has ever faced. It calls for nothing less than a complete transformation of how we produce, consume and move about.”

Contents:

  1. Foreword
  2. Overview
  3. Introduction
  4. The status quo
  5. Envisioning Tourism in 2030: Modelling scenarios for emission pathways
  6. From single pathways to the tourism decarbonisation scenario (TDS)
  7. The implications of the TDS scenario
  8. Conclusions and recommendations